No More California Dreaming for U.S.-China Relations

Posted: 09. Jun, 2013 Last update: 09. Jun, 2013

China Real Time Report (中国实时报) Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “How Obama and Xi Can Avoid California Dreaming,” China Real Time Report (中国实时报), Wall Street Journal, 7 June 2013. The grave internal challenges China and the U.S. face and the tough webs of issues Beijing and Washington must confront when dealing with each other mean [...]

How Do the Economic Outputs of China’s 8 Most Productive Cities Compare to Those of U.S. Cities?

Posted: 29. Jul, 2011 Last update: 29. Jul, 2011

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “How Do the Economic Outputs of China’s 8 Most Productive Cities Compare to Those of U.S. Cities?,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 41 (29 July 2011) China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”© Economic discussions involving the U.S. and China often focus on national-level matters such as currency valuation, duties, and trade policy. Yet decisions [...]

12 in ’12: Strategic Challenges Facing the U.S. and China as the 2012 Political Season Approaches

Posted: 11. Jul, 2011 Last update: 29. Jul, 2011

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “12 in ’12: Strategic Challenges Facing the U.S. and China as the 2012 Political Season Approaches,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 40 (11 July 2011) China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”© Executive Summary: Challenges Washington faces that will affect relations with China 1) Adapting to a sometimes contradictory “frenemies” type relationship with [...]

The 10 Biggest Cities in China That You’ve Probably Never Heard of

Posted: 01. Jun, 2011 Last update: 30. Jul, 2011

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “The 10 Biggest Cities in China That You’ve Probably Never Heard of,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 37 (1 June 2011) China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”© China already has more than 150 cities with populations of more than one million people and could have as many as 221 cities with one [...]

A Foreign Corrupt Practices Act with Chinese Characteristics: Web-based reporting can help enforce China’s new foreign anti-bribery law

Posted: 01. May, 2011 Last update: 30. Jul, 2011

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “A Foreign Corrupt Practices Act with Chinese Characteristics: Step 1,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 34 (1 May 2011) China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”© –In late February 2011, the National People’s Congress ratified an amendment to China’s Criminal Law that makes it illegal for PRC nationals and companies to bribe foreign [...]

Keeping the Mandate of Heaven: Why China’s leaders focus heavily on grain prices and security

Posted: 17. Feb, 2011 Last update: 30. Jul, 2011

Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson, “Keeping the Mandate of Heaven: Why China’s leaders focus heavily on grain prices and security,” China SignPost™ (洞察中国), No. 22 (17 February 2011). China SignPost™ 洞察中国–“Clear, high-impact China analysis.”© –Famine and grain supply problems helped topple at least 5 of China’s 17 dynasties. –Global grain prices are already near the 2008 [...]

Follow the money: “Rich lists” hint at sectors that may become future wealth generators

Posted: 27. Nov, 2010 Last update: 30. Jul, 2011

Key takeaways: China’s consumer, tech, retail financial services, private education, and health care are likely to be key future wealth generators. Strategic industries such as the natural resources sector will remain vital to the economy, but do not appear poised to create dynamic personal wealth or job growth the way the more privatized sectors will.

Areas of highest global impact: Chinese tech firms are likely to become more influential global players, which will force regulators worldwide to adjust to more attempts by Chinese firms to make tech-related acquisitions abroad. The ongoing friction over Huawei’s recent acquisition of 3LeafSystems is likely a harbinger of things to come. More Chinese health and pharmaceutical firms are also poised to reap the gains of the country’s life science research complex and become global heavyweights. Growth in China’s consumer economy will increase demand for commodities such as base metals like copper and aluminum, grains, paper for packaging, crude oil, and electricity.

Policy recommendations: Publish clear guidelines for foreign acquisitions in sensitive sectors like tech. Be sure to include bilateral investment access as a key agenda item at high level meetings. Revive the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue between Washington and Beijing.